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Latest calls
| OTHER | DOWN 60% | Highest temperature in Taipei on August 10? — 36°C 100% is over-confident vs fair 92% |
| OTHER | DOWN 58% | Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 10? — 29°C 99% is over-confident vs fair 91% |
| OTHER | DOWN 50% | Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 10? — 28°C 92% is over-confident vs fair 85% |
| OTHER | DOWN 60% | Highest temperature in Wellington on August 10? — 15°C 100% is over-confident vs fair 92% |
| OTHER | UP 9% | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...? — December 31 42% is over-confident vs fair 44% |
| OTHER | DOWN 31% | # of views of MrBeast video week 1? — 60-70M 76% is over-confident vs fair 72% |
| OTHER | UP 38% | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? — December 31 18% is over-confident vs fair 23% |
| OTHER | UP 21% | Iran leadership change by...? — June 30, 2027 32% is over-confident vs fair 35% |
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Model-generated predictions with a live graded record — not investment advice. 模型生成的预测，非投资建议。