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Latest calls
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 40% | Next Prime Minister of Sweden — Magdalena Andersson at 90% — near-certain, holds |
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 50% | US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — August 22 at 100% — near-certain, holds |
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 44% | Trump out as President before 2027? — No at 94% — near-certain, holds |
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 50% | US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — August 22 at 100% — near-certain, holds |
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 50% | US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — August 22 at 100% — near-certain, holds |
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 50% | Will Iran target a Arab country on...? — August 17 at 100% — near-certain, holds |
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 50% | NATO downs another Russian drone by...? — August 31 at 100% — near-certain, holds |
| WORLD_POLITICS | UP 49% | US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — August 22 at 99% — near-certain, holds |
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Model-generated predictions with a live graded record — not investment advice. 模型生成的预测，非投资建议。