In July 2026, Fortivio.AI's 465 AI agents made 81,852 graded directional calls on 397 US stocks across 22 sessions and got 40,122 right — a 49.0% hit rate, 1.0 points below a coin flip. UP calls hit 47.1% (50,026 calls) and DOWN calls hit 52.0% (31,826 calls). The best session was 2026-07-24 (54.7%) and the worst 2026-07-08 (43.2%).
Every call was locked before the open and graded on that session's open→close move — no look-ahead, no revisions (methodology). Per-agent histories are public and immutable, so every number here can be recomputed.
| Strategy | Hit rate | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bollinger Reversion | 51.8% | 1,842/3,553 | 21 agents |
| RSI Mean-Reversion | 51.6% | 1,815/3,518 | 21 agents |
| Mean-Reversion | 51.2% | 2,047/3,997 | 22 agents |
| Regime Switch | 51.2% | 1,715/3,350 | 21 agents |
| Quality | 50.8% | 1,661/3,272 | 21 agents |
| Long-Term Reversal | 50.3% | 2,052/4,083 | 21 agents |
| Low Volatility | 49.9% | 1,895/3,795 | 21 agents |
| Meta-Ensemble | 49.4% | 1,649/3,341 | 21 agents |
| Volume Thrust | 49.2% | 1,599/3,252 | 20 agents |
| LightGBM | 49.2% | 1,865/3,793 | 22 agents |
| Trend Strength | 49.1% | 1,759/3,583 | 21 agents |
| 52-Week-High | 49.0% | 1,826/3,726 | 21 agents |
| SOTA Ensemble | 48.5% | 1,819/3,750 | 22 agents |
| Vol-Adjusted Momentum | 47.9% | 1,744/3,643 | 21 agents |
| LLM Prompt | 47.9% | 1,311/2,739 | 4 agents |
| Breakout | 47.8% | 1,889/3,953 | 21 agents |
| Relative Strength | 47.7% | 1,596/3,347 | 21 agents |
| OBV Trend | 47.7% | 1,736/3,641 | 21 agents |
| Momentum Acceleration | 47.6% | 1,861/3,912 | 21 agents |
| Donchian | 47.5% | 1,765/3,718 | 21 agents |
| Momentum | 47.4% | 1,959/4,133 | 22 agents |
| MACD | 47.4% | 1,853/3,910 | 21 agents |
| Dual Momentum | 46.9% | 864/1,843 | 17 agents |
| Exchanges & Financial Data · 52-Week-High | 67.5% | 104/154 |
| Exchanges & Financial Data · Trend Strength | 67.5% | 104/154 |
| Real Estate (REITs) · RSI Mean-Reversion | 64.8% | 57/88 |
| Megacap Tech · Low Volatility | 64.4% | 85/132 |
| Megacap Tech · Regime Switch | 64.4% | 85/132 |
| Materials · Mean-Reversion | 62.5% | 55/88 |
| Exchanges & Financial Data · Volume Thrust | 62.2% | 61/98 |
| Exchanges & Financial Data · Low Volatility | 61.9% | 70/113 |
| Real Estate (REITs) · Bollinger Reversion | 61.4% | 54/88 |
| Real Estate (REITs) · Mean-Reversion | 61.4% | 54/88 |
| Software & SaaS · Dual Momentum | 29.2% | 7/24 |
| Materials · Momentum | 36.1% | 26/72 |
| Communications & Media · MACD | 36.8% | 50/136 |
| Megacap Tech · Long-Term Reversal | 36.8% | 67/182 |
| Medical Devices & Tools · Momentum Acceleration | 37.3% | 38/102 |
| FER | 90.0% | 9/10 | -0.50% avg session move |
| ALB | 76.5% | 26/34 | -0.55% avg session move |
| XYZ | 75.0% | 9/12 | +0.68% avg session move |
| ADP | 69.2% | 9/13 | +0.12% avg session move |
| TECH | 64.8% | 35/54 | +0.10% avg session move |
| GRMN | 64.7% | 11/17 | +1.21% avg session move |
| TSCO | 64.3% | 9/14 | -0.76% avg session move |
| ICE | 63.9% | 156/244 | +0.91% avg session move |
| JBL | 63.6% | 7/11 | -1.18% avg session move |
| AAPL | 63.4% | 236/372 | +0.74% avg session move |
| ZBRA | 7.7% | 1/13 | -1.59% avg session move |
| PTC | 18.2% | 2/11 | +0.77% avg session move |
| GPC | 23.5% | 4/17 | -0.71% avg session move |
| UAL | 25.0% | 4/16 | -2.20% avg session move |
| IT | 28.6% | 6/21 | +0.08% avg session move |
| ROL | 30.8% | 4/13 | +0.61% avg session move |
| EQT | 30.8% | 8/26 | -0.23% avg session move |
| C | 31.5% | 131/416 | -0.41% avg session move |
| VEEV | 31.6% | 6/19 | -0.24% avg session move |
| KMI | 33.2% | 122/368 | -0.30% avg session move |
| Session | Hit rate | Correct |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | 49.9% | 1,904/3,818 |
| 2026-07-02 | 49.7% | 1,896/3,818 |
| 2026-07-06 | 51.2% | 1,948/3,807 |
| 2026-07-07 | 46.9% | 1,788/3,809 |
| 2026-07-08 | 43.2% | 1,644/3,809 |
| 2026-07-09 | 48.8% | 1,857/3,809 |
| 2026-07-10 | 51.1% | 1,947/3,809 |
| 2026-07-13 | 51.3% | 1,955/3,808 |
| 2026-07-14 | 49.7% | 1,895/3,810 |
| 2026-07-15 | 47.8% | 1,821/3,810 |
| 2026-07-16 | 51.8% | 1,974/3,810 |
| 2026-07-17 | 47.7% | 1,817/3,811 |
| 2026-07-20 | 46.1% | 1,759/3,814 |
| 2026-07-21 | 48.2% | 1,837/3,814 |
| 2026-07-22 | 50.2% | 1,913/3,814 |
| 2026-07-23 | 48.0% | 1,830/3,814 |
| 2026-07-24 | 54.7% | 1,968/3,597 |
| 2026-07-27 | 44.8% | 1,583/3,534 |
| 2026-07-28 | 48.6% | 1,701/3,502 |
| 2026-07-29 | 44.3% | 1,516/3,424 |
| 2026-07-30 | 53.0% | 1,816/3,424 |
| 2026-07-31 | 51.8% | 1,753/3,387 |
Download the graded calls behind this report (CSV) — one row per call: date, agent, strategy, ticker, direction, confidence, outcome, realized session return, rationale. Free to reuse with attribution.
Cite as: Fortivio.AI, "AI stock-prediction accuracy — July 2026", https://fortivio.ai/reports/2026-07. Not investment advice.
Open Fortivio.AI →Model-generated predictions with a live graded record — not investment advice. 模型生成的预测，非投资建议。