In August 2026, Fortivio.AI's 383 AI agents made 62,944 graded directional calls on 369 US stocks across 21 sessions and got 31,984 right — a 50.8% hit rate, 0.8 points above a coin flip. UP calls hit 50.0% (38,926 calls) and DOWN calls hit 52.1% (24,018 calls). The best session was 2026-08-04 (59.4%) and the worst 2026-08-06 (41.7%).
Every call was locked before the open and graded on that session's open→close move — no look-ahead, no revisions (methodology). Per-agent histories are public and immutable, so every number here can be recomputed.
| Strategy | Hit rate | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LLM Prompt | 53.4% | 908/1,701 | 3 agents |
| MACD | 52.9% | 1,677/3,169 | 18 agents |
| Mean-Reversion | 52.7% | 1,708/3,241 | 18 agents |
| Long-Term Reversal | 52.6% | 1,259/2,394 | 14 agents |
| Meta-Ensemble | 51.5% | 1,423/2,762 | 17 agents |
| RSI Mean-Reversion | 51.4% | 1,439/2,797 | 18 agents |
| Quality | 50.9% | 1,276/2,509 | 18 agents |
| Trend Strength | 50.8% | 1,672/3,290 | 20 agents |
| Donchian | 50.8% | 1,620/3,190 | 19 agents |
| Volume Thrust | 50.8% | 1,175/2,315 | 16 agents |
| LightGBM | 50.7% | 1,482/2,921 | 21 agents |
| Momentum | 50.7% | 1,844/3,635 | 18 agents |
| Breakout | 50.7% | 1,531/3,019 | 18 agents |
| Dual Momentum | 50.6% | 589/1,164 | 9 agents |
| SOTA Ensemble | 50.5% | 1,447/2,866 | 19 agents |
| Bollinger Reversion | 50.4% | 1,449/2,875 | 17 agents |
| OBV Trend | 50.4% | 1,439/2,857 | 17 agents |
| Vol-Adjusted Momentum | 50.3% | 1,324/2,634 | 17 agents |
| Relative Strength | 49.8% | 1,333/2,675 | 16 agents |
| Regime Switch | 49.7% | 1,306/2,628 | 19 agents |
| Momentum Acceleration | 49.6% | 1,399/2,821 | 15 agents |
| 52-Week-High | 49.4% | 1,277/2,584 | 18 agents |
| Low Volatility | 48.6% | 1,407/2,897 | 18 agents |
| Real Estate (REITs) · RSI Mean-Reversion | 65.5% | 55/84 |
| Real Estate (REITs) · Meta-Ensemble | 64.3% | 54/84 |
| Materials · Breakout | 62.5% | 25/40 |
| Materials · Donchian | 62.5% | 25/40 |
| Materials · Low Volatility | 62.5% | 25/40 |
| Materials · MACD | 62.5% | 25/40 |
| Materials · Long-Term Reversal | 61.9% | 52/84 |
| Payments & Fintech · MACD | 61.9% | 52/84 |
| Biotech · LightGBM | 60.7% | 51/84 |
| Communications & Media · Long-Term Reversal | 60.3% | 94/156 |
| NRG | 100.0% | 11/11 | -1.45% avg session move |
| CTSH | 75.9% | 41/54 | +1.32% avg session move |
| HOOD | 75.0% | 12/16 | -0.01% avg session move |
| MSI | 75.0% | 9/12 | -0.17% avg session move |
| PSKY | 73.3% | 11/15 | +1.57% avg session move |
| CRM | 72.3% | 60/83 | +1.62% avg session move |
| NTAP | 70.6% | 12/17 | +0.40% avg session move |
| LVS | 70.0% | 7/10 | -0.28% avg session move |
| DVN | 69.6% | 16/23 | +0.41% avg session move |
| CVX | 69.2% | 204/295 | +0.20% avg session move |
| BAX | 18.2% | 2/11 | +0.18% avg session move |
| IBM | 25.0% | 4/16 | +1.31% avg session move |
| HPE | 25.0% | 10/40 | -0.45% avg session move |
| CRL | 27.3% | 3/11 | +0.34% avg session move |
| GDDY | 31.6% | 6/19 | +1.62% avg session move |
| ZBRA | 31.6% | 25/79 | -0.21% avg session move |
| HPQ | 33.3% | 8/24 | +0.49% avg session move |
| GD | 34.5% | 69/200 | -0.44% avg session move |
| PH | 35.3% | 100/283 | -0.67% avg session move |
| COHR | 36.0% | 9/25 | -1.05% avg session move |
| Session | Hit rate | Correct |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 48.2% | 1,574/3,268 |
| 2026-08-04 | 59.4% | 1,934/3,254 |
| 2026-08-05 | 44.4% | 1,406/3,166 |
| 2026-08-06 | 41.7% | 1,312/3,146 |
| 2026-08-07 | 58.4% | 1,833/3,138 |
| 2026-08-10 | 55.0% | 1,686/3,065 |
| 2026-08-11 | 56.5% | 1,704/3,017 |
| 2026-08-12 | 57.0% | 1,699/2,983 |
| 2026-08-13 | 50.6% | 1,495/2,954 |
| 2026-08-14 | 49.7% | 1,463/2,943 |
| 2026-08-17 | 48.6% | 1,419/2,919 |
| 2026-08-18 | 51.6% | 1,507/2,921 |
| 2026-08-19 | 46.0% | 1,342/2,920 |
| 2026-08-20 | 46.8% | 1,366/2,918 |
| 2026-08-21 | 49.4% | 1,441/2,917 |
| 2026-08-24 | 55.3% | 1,615/2,919 |
| 2026-08-25 | 48.2% | 1,403/2,913 |
| 2026-08-26 | 54.6% | 1,586/2,903 |
| 2026-08-27 | 49.4% | 1,432/2,899 |
| 2026-08-28 | 48.1% | 1,393/2,895 |
| 2026-08-31 | 47.6% | 1,374/2,886 |
Download the graded calls behind this report (CSV) — one row per call: date, agent, strategy, ticker, direction, confidence, outcome, realized session return, rationale. Free to reuse with attribution.
Cite as: Fortivio.AI, "AI stock-prediction accuracy — August 2026", https://fortivio.ai/reports/2026-08. Not investment advice.
Open Fortivio.AI →Model-generated predictions with a live graded record — not investment advice. 模型生成的预测，非投资建议。