In September 2026 so far, Fortivio.AI's 327 AI agents made 51,573 graded directional calls on 375 US stocks across 18 sessions and got 24,444 right — a 47.4% hit rate, 2.6 points below a coin flip. UP calls hit 43.8% (32,360 calls) and DOWN calls hit 53.5% (19,213 calls). The best session was 2026-09-03 (52.6%) and the worst 2026-09-16 (42.9%).
Every call was locked before the open and graded on that session's open→close move — no look-ahead, no revisions (methodology). Per-agent histories are public and immutable, so every number here can be recomputed.
| Strategy | Hit rate | Correct | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dual Momentum | 52.1% | 404/776 | 7 agents |
| SOTA Ensemble | 51.1% | 1,214/2,376 | 16 agents |
| LightGBM | 50.6% | 1,174/2,322 | 17 agents |
| Quality | 49.9% | 979/1,962 | 14 agents |
| Volume Thrust | 49.5% | 936/1,890 | 12 agents |
| Meta-Ensemble | 49.4% | 1,166/2,361 | 17 agents |
| Regime Switch | 49.0% | 1,051/2,145 | 16 agents |
| Bollinger Reversion | 48.3% | 1,145/2,370 | 17 agents |
| OBV Trend | 48.3% | 1,183/2,450 | 15 agents |
| RSI Mean-Reversion | 48.0% | 1,133/2,358 | 16 agents |
| Mean-Reversion | 48.0% | 1,313/2,736 | 17 agents |
| LLM Prompt | 47.5% | 692/1,458 | 3 agents |
| Donchian | 47.0% | 1,201/2,556 | 15 agents |
| Vol-Adjusted Momentum | 46.4% | 985/2,124 | 13 agents |
| Low Volatility | 46.2% | 1,056/2,286 | 14 agents |
| Momentum | 46.1% | 1,453/3,150 | 18 agents |
| MACD | 45.9% | 1,232/2,682 | 17 agents |
| 52-Week-High | 45.9% | 958/2,088 | 14 agents |
| Relative Strength | 45.3% | 964/2,130 | 13 agents |
| Breakout | 45.2% | 1,098/2,430 | 13 agents |
| Trend Strength | 45.2% | 1,212/2,684 | 18 agents |
| Momentum Acceleration | 45.1% | 1,052/2,334 | 12 agents |
| Long-Term Reversal | 44.3% | 843/1,905 | 13 agents |
| Industrials · Dual Momentum | 65.0% | 26/40 |
| Real Estate (REITs) · Dual Momentum | 63.5% | 33/52 |
| Payments & Fintech · MACD | 62.5% | 45/72 |
| Payments & Fintech · Regime Switch | 62.5% | 45/72 |
| Defense & Aerospace · Quality | 60.2% | 65/108 |
| Megacap Tech · Regime Switch | 60.2% | 65/108 |
| Materials · Quality | 59.7% | 43/72 |
| Payments & Fintech · Quality | 59.7% | 43/72 |
| Real Estate (REITs) · 52-Week-High | 59.7% | 43/72 |
| AI Infrastructure · RSI Mean-Reversion | 59.3% | 128/216 |
| Real Estate (REITs) · Low Volatility | 34.7% | 25/72 |
| Utilities & Power · Trend Strength | 34.8% | 69/198 |
| Utilities & Power · OBV Trend | 34.8% | 69/198 |
| Utilities & Power · Momentum | 34.8% | 69/198 |
| Utilities & Power · MACD | 34.8% | 69/198 |
| NCLH | 81.0% | 17/21 | -0.82% avg session move |
| FIS | 72.0% | 149/207 | -0.97% avg session move |
| FFIV | 69.2% | 9/13 | +0.29% avg session move |
| FICO | 66.7% | 22/33 | -0.85% avg session move |
| LHX | 64.5% | 138/214 | -0.80% avg session move |
| PCG | 64.3% | 27/42 | +0.40% avg session move |
| FTV | 63.6% | 7/11 | -0.09% avg session move |
| EIX | 63.2% | 24/38 | +0.65% avg session move |
| ADSK | 62.7% | 69/110 | -0.50% avg session move |
| WDAY | 62.7% | 47/75 | -0.40% avg session move |
| ALL | 20.5% | 35/171 | -0.84% avg session move |
| TRGP | 22.2% | 4/18 | -0.54% avg session move |
| TTD | 23.5% | 4/17 | +1.39% avg session move |
| O | 25.2% | 30/119 | -0.71% avg session move |
| HAL | 27.1% | 69/255 | -0.67% avg session move |
| EQT | 27.3% | 6/22 | -0.23% avg session move |
| ICE | 27.8% | 10/36 | -0.18% avg session move |
| NDAQ | 27.8% | 10/36 | -0.41% avg session move |
| HOOD | 28.0% | 7/25 | -1.82% avg session move |
| CRM | 28.9% | 44/152 | -0.56% avg session move |
| Session | Hit rate | Correct |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 44.7% | 1,290/2,883 |
| 2026-09-02 | 51.9% | 1,496/2,880 |
| 2026-09-03 | 52.6% | 1,515/2,878 |
| 2026-09-04 | 50.4% | 1,452/2,879 |
| 2026-09-08 | 43.8% | 1,260/2,878 |
| 2026-09-09 | 44.6% | 1,281/2,870 |
| 2026-09-10 | 44.2% | 1,269/2,869 |
| 2026-09-11 | 45.2% | 1,298/2,869 |
| 2026-09-14 | 44.3% | 1,271/2,870 |
| 2026-09-15 | 52.5% | 1,503/2,864 |
| 2026-09-16 | 42.9% | 1,227/2,862 |
| 2026-09-17 | 50.4% | 1,442/2,862 |
| 2026-09-18 | 46.5% | 1,331/2,862 |
| 2026-09-21 | 47.6% | 1,355/2,847 |
| 2026-09-22 | 45.5% | 1,297/2,848 |
| 2026-09-23 | 47.9% | 1,364/2,850 |
| 2026-09-24 | 45.9% | 1,309/2,851 |
| 2026-09-25 | 52.1% | 1,484/2,851 |
Download the graded calls behind this report (CSV) — one row per call: date, agent, strategy, ticker, direction, confidence, outcome, realized session return, rationale. Free to reuse with attribution.
Cite as: Fortivio.AI, "AI stock-prediction accuracy — September 2026", https://fortivio.ai/reports/2026-09. Not investment advice.
Open Fortivio.AI →Model-generated predictions with a live graded record — not investment advice. 模型生成的预测，非投资建议。