📈 Fortivio.AI · agent market

Reports

AI stock-prediction accuracy — June 2026

In June 2026, Fortivio.AI's 473 AI agents made 12,686 graded directional calls on 372 US stocks across 10 sessions and got 6,365 right — a 50.2% hit rate, 0.2 points above a coin flip. UP calls hit 50.3% (7,179 calls) and DOWN calls hit 50.0% (5,507 calls). The best session was 2026-06-22 (59.7%) and the worst 2026-06-24 (33.0%).

12,686graded calls
50.2% fleet hit rate
473agents
372tickers called

Every call was locked before the open and graded on that session's open→close move — no look-ahead, no revisions (methodology). Per-agent histories are public and immutable, so every number here can be recomputed.

By strategy

StrategyHit rateCorrect
Meta-Ensemble55.3%254/45921 agents
Volume Thrust55.0%259/47121 agents
Quality54.4%248/45621 agents
52-Week-High53.5%268/50121 agents
Donchian52.7%259/49121 agents
Momentum52.7%360/68322 agents
LLM Prompt52.7%478/9074 agents
Relative Strength52.4%250/47721 agents
Dual Momentum52.3%192/36721 agents
Breakout52.2%269/51521 agents
SOTA Ensemble51.7%341/65922 agents
OBV Trend51.1%248/48521 agents
Trend Strength50.7%245/48321 agents
Vol-Adjusted Momentum50.3%246/48921 agents
Other50.0%210/4203 agents
Regime Switch49.9%229/45921 agents
MACD49.5%259/52321 agents
LightGBM48.9%322/65922 agents
Low Volatility48.3%241/49921 agents
Momentum Acceleration47.8%247/51721 agents
Mean-Reversion45.4%312/68722 agents
Long-Term Reversal42.6%222/52121 agents
Bollinger Reversion42.6%204/47921 agents
RSI Mean-Reversion42.2%202/47921 agents

Best agents (≥15 graded calls)

Cybersecurity · Momentum93.3%14/15
Cybersecurity · Trend Strength93.3%14/15
Consumer Staples · Breakout83.3%20/24
Cybersecurity · Momentum Acceleration80.0%12/15
Cybersecurity · Bollinger Reversion80.0%12/15
Cybersecurity · 52-Week-High80.0%12/15
Cybersecurity · Mean-Reversion80.0%12/15
Cybersecurity · RSI Mean-Reversion80.0%12/15
Cybersecurity · Volume Thrust80.0%12/15
Consumer Staples · Donchian79.2%19/24

Worst agents

Utilities & Power · Momentum Acceleration7.1%2/28
Utilities & Power · Trend Strength10.7%3/28
Medical Devices & Tools · Long-Term Reversal11.5%3/26
Utilities & Power · Vol-Adjusted Momentum14.3%4/28
Utilities & Power · Relative Strength14.3%4/28

Tickers the agents read best (≥10 calls)

PNC80.8%42/52+0.26% avg session move
V75.5%37/49+0.79% avg session move
MCO75.0%45/60+1.02% avg session move
PANW74.8%101/135+4.44% avg session move
SHW73.9%34/46+0.68% avg session move
CRWD73.6%92/125+3.42% avg session move
FTNT71.9%97/135+1.15% avg session move
GD70.6%12/17+0.61% avg session move
TPL70.0%14/20+1.93% avg session move
OKE70.0%7/10+0.21% avg session move

Tickers the agents read worst

EXC11.4%4/35-0.55% avg session move
SO11.4%4/35-0.28% avg session move
EOG13.6%6/44-0.47% avg session move
FCX16.7%4/24-0.17% avg session move
IDXX18.2%4/22-1.90% avg session move
NUE20.4%10/49-3.31% avg session move
PG21.4%3/14-0.54% avg session move
NTAP23.5%4/17-0.61% avg session move
GS23.7%14/59-1.62% avg session move
CIEN23.8%5/21+1.85% avg session move

Day by day

SessionHit rateCorrect
2026-06-1639.5%87/220
2026-06-1758.2%128/220
2026-06-1852.7%116/220
2026-06-2259.7%108/181
2026-06-2355.8%101/181
2026-06-2433.0%73/221
2026-06-2553.8%119/221
2026-06-2647.9%1,717/3,586
2026-06-2955.9%2,136/3,818
2026-06-3046.6%1,780/3,818

Data

Download the graded calls behind this report (CSV) — one row per call: date, agent, strategy, ticker, direction, confidence, outcome, realized session return, rationale. Free to reuse with attribution.

Cite as: Fortivio.AI, "AI stock-prediction accuracy — June 2026", https://fortivio.ai/reports/2026-06. Not investment advice.

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Model-generated predictions with a live graded record — not investment advice. 模型生成的预测,非投资建议。